The Power of the Hypergeometric Bet
What size should we bet with our value and bluffs? When our range is perfectly polarized (with our value hands having 100% equity), many studied players know that our optimal wager is the geometric size: the fraction of the pot that gets us exactly all-in if we bet this same fraction on each remaini
The Right Way To Think About Protection
Suppose Paul the Protector is in a 200bb cash game and opens A♠A♣ in the SB. The BB calls, and the flop is 8♥6♦4♥. He might be tempted to fire a 75% pot c-bet here, as betting allows him to “charge flush draws on a wet board” and “protect his hand against some straight draws,” both of which his hand